Logistics Market Update: July 2024

July 25, 2024

At Spot, we understand the vital role that up-to-date information plays in navigating the dynamic logistics market. Each month, we bring you a comprehensive logistics market update. We dive into the latest trends, challenges, and innovations shaping the logistics sector. Join us as we empower you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions in this fast-paced industry.

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Demand Levels & Outlook

The food industry is a major force in U.S. trucking, accounting for 15% of total shipping tonnage and involving 20 million heavy shipments annually. Seasonal peaks in ice cream and produce require flexible trucking solutions. However, challenges exist. Declining food exports and a moderate import increase mean less demand for truckloads. Hurricane Beryl may cause temporary disruptions, but the national impact is likely limited. Future considerations include potential softening in motor vehicle production, but also potential growth from reshoring and electric vehicle development. Overall, food manufacturing remains a key driver, but the trucking industry must adapt to evolving trends.


Supply, Capacity, and Carrier Operating Costs

U.S. manufacturing weathered the Red Sea crisis surprisingly well, with material shortages easing significantly. However, longer shipping routes and port congestion are raising carrier costs. The trucking industry faces a different set of challenges. A glut of trucks caused by government loans during COVID-19 is keeping rates low, potentially forcing smaller carriers out of business and leading to a capacity crunch in 2025. The industry saw a significant number of exits in April, highlighting the overall strain.


Contract & Spot Market Rate Trends

The 4th of July holiday caused a significant drop in freight activity across the board, but spot rates remained steady or even rose slightly. Hurricane Beryl and labor disputes on the East and West Coasts could further tighten capacity and impact rates in specific regions. California’s import surge might drive up spot rates, while Midwest steel production decline leads to lower rates. Labor issues in Canada add uncertainty to agricultural freight markets. Overall, the ability of spot rates to stay high through Labor Day hinges on future demand and capacity adjustments.